Mieux Donner

Report on The Effectiveness of French Foreign Aid

Picture of Romain Barbe

Romain Barbe

Co-founder and Director of Mieux Donner
Reading time: 16 min.

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

France stands as a major leader in global development assistance, ranking as the 5th highest donor among the Development Assistance Committee  with roughly €14 billion in official development assistance (ODA) in 2023. France now intends to ‘refocus its action where it is most useful and renew its support for the most effective organisations’, according to a decision statement [1] issued by the Élysée Palace on April 6. We salute the direction of the presidency toward more effective and impactful aid, and offer concrete proposals for how the country can achieve this new focus in the report.

France has significant opportunities to enhance its national reach and impact, such as better targeting of low-income countries and investing in health interventions. Several unique policy windows in 2025, such as multilateral replenishments and shifts in U.S. policy, present France with opportunities to optimize its assistance and strengthen its global leadership position. By strategically adjusting its aid toward more optimal allocations and leveraging these policy windows, France can significantly amplify its global impact while enhancing its diplomatic influence.

The Elysée’s call for greater efficiency must be rigorously implemented in terms of evidence, measuring effectiveness and selecting high-impact projects. This means
  • Increasing funding for high-impact programmes from GAVI, the Global Funds and the Fonds d’Innovation pour le Développement (FID).

  • That those responsible for measurement and prioritisation draw on existing work, such as that of J-Pal, IPA, 3ie and FID.

  • To allocate a significant proportion of aid on the basis of demonstrated impact criteria used by these four bodies.

1. Methodological Approach

1.1 Data-Driven Framework for Evaluating Evidence-Backed ODA

To evaluate French foreign aid, we review several key characteristics of the country’s ODA which serve as proxies for its impact. These components can indicate the reach of France’s ODA and how many lives it touches, improves, and saves. By extending this reach, France can generate more benefits, both for recipient countries and itself, with its precious resources. 

  • Targeting of Least Developed Countries: Allocating more aid to the poorest nations enhances impact, as development assistance has the highest returns where basic needs are unmet. Low-income countries have a GDP per capita between ~4 to ~12x lower than even in upper-middle income countries [2], and their governments have less resources, only able to spend about $10 per capita on health [3].

  • Spending on Multilaterals: Directing a greater proportion of aid through global institutions and partnerships with proven track records of delivering effective, evidence-backed assistance can enhance the impact of a country’s ODA. [4]

  • Aid Composition: A higher proportion of grants rather than loans increases flexibility, reduces inefficiencies, and ensures resources reach those in need. [5]

  • Global Health Investments: Prioritizing cost-effective interventions like immunization and disease prevention can have a significant impact on people’s lives per euro spent. [6]

We also look at Overall ODA Level: The absolute level and share of national income dedicated to aid reflects commitments to assistance and provides a foundation for understanding the magnitude of the impact of improving ODA (i.e. increasing the effectiveness of ODA generates absolute benefits proportional to the overall level of ODA spending).

1.2 Focus on Smart Buys

A core element of our methodology is the “smart buys” approach. This strategy identifies interventions that deliver exceptional social returns on each euro spent on assistance. Evidence indicates that investments in Gavi-supported immunization programs [7] and the Global Fund’s disease prevention initiatives are among the most effective in development cooperation [8]. Similarly, the French Innovation Fund—which drives innovative, evidence-based solutions—should be regarded on an equal footing [9]. The cost-effectiveness of these programs is typically assessed using metrics such as cost per life saved and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) averted or return on investment.

2. Key Findings

Aide publique au développement française 2018-2023
Aide publique au développement par pays contributeur
Aide publique au développement en % du revenu national brut
Tableau récapitulatif de différentes métriques

2.1 Overall Spending and Composition

France stands as a significant contributor to global development assistance, ranking as the 5th highest donor among Development Assistance Committee (DAC) [10] members with approximately €14 billion [11] in ODA spending for 2023 [12]. While it ranks 11th when measuring assistance as a percentage of Gross National Income (GNI), France’s contribution of 0.48% remains above the average for DAC members (0.37%) [13]. France continues to be a global leader in ODA, but France is us lagging behind its aims to provide 0.7% of GNI in assistance [14] and the 37% cut in foreign aid for 2025 threatens to undermine progress [15].

44 % d'aide multilatérale, la France se montre leader

France demonstrates this leadership by supporting key multilateral institutions. The country directs 44% of its assistance through multilaterals, well above the DAC average of 25% [16]. By supporting these global platforms, France is able to lead the world in delivering effective, targeted assistance to recipients all around the world.

2.2 Global Health Investments

The sectoral distribution of French bilateral aid shows a clear prioritization of economic development and human capital. Economic infrastructure commands a large share at 19%, followed by education as a key priority at 15%. Meanwhile, health sector support receives a more modest allocation of 5%, while disease-specific interventions for Malaria, Tuberculosis, and infectious disease control receive less than 1% of bilateral assistance [17]. This is far below the proportion other peer nations are spending on health [18]. Investments in global health are a significant opportunity for improving lives abroad, as well as advancing national security by helping to prevent, monitor, and treat potential pandemic outbreaks [19] .

Seulement 5 % de l'aide sur la santé, une opportunité à fort impact

2.3 Need-Based Allocation

Most of France’s assistance is directed toward lower-middle income countries, where over 10% of the population live on less than $2.15 a day [20]. This means France is ensuring the majority of its development assistance is reaching places that are relatively poor, with a GDP per capita between $1,136 and $4,465, so it can have a meaningful impact. However, France only dedicates 14% of its aid to low-income countries [21], where almost half of people live in extreme poverty [22], which falls notably below the DAC average of 26%. While the majority of French aid is still directed toward relatively poor countries, this does raise questions about whether assistance can be more optimally targeted towards the poorest states. 

Seulement 14 % de l'aide vers des pays à faibles revenus

France has just declared “the French government is now committed to devoting at least 60% of its donations to the most vulnerable countries, including the least developed countries and those particularly vulnerable to climate change or in situations of great financial fragility, based in particular on the UN’s Multidimensional Vulnerability Index (MVI).” [1] While this points in a promising direction, it’s unclear which nations will be defined as “most vulnerable countries” as it is not an official denomination. To reach those most in need and  achieve the biggest impact possible, France should be specific about where it will orient the assistance.

2.4 Reliance on loans

Within its bilateral aid portfolio, France has an elevated preference for loans, which comprise 20% of bilateral assistance. This is more than double the DAC average of 8%. While loans can be valuable for financing infrastructure and other development projects, this approach can sometimes create debt burdens for recipient countries, particularly those already facing economic challenges [23]. This raises concerns about the long-term sustainability of development efforts and the potential for exacerbating debt vulnerabilities in recipient countries.

Malgré une faible efficacité, le recours aux prêts est plus courant (20 %) que nos partenaires (8 %)

2.5 Evidence, Evaluation, and Accountability

France should ensure the programming it supports is based on rigorous evidence. By funding programs based on evidence from randomized controlled trials and rigorous social science research, which is made readily available by organizations such as 3ie [24], J-PAL [25] and Innovations for Poverty Action [26] (IPA),  France can ensure its ODA generates the biggest impact possible. Similar initiatives in the U.S. returned $17 for every $1 spent [27], a return on investment hard to match in foreign assistance.

Effective impact assessments are essential to ensure funds are spent effectively, best practices are continuously identified and replicated, and impactful programs are successfully scaled up. The AFD aims to evaluate 50% of their projects, accomplishing 53% in 2022 [28]. However, the organization’s evaluation strategy [29] often does not rely sufficiently on quantitative assessments and comparison with the baseline scenario [30]. Current evaluations are more focused on program monitoring  than impact evaluation and rigorous prioritisation.

3. Key Recommendations

3.1 Optimize Resource Allocation

  • Target low-income countries: A key priority should be increasing support to low-income countries. France is falling short of the DAC average, only directing 14% of its assistance to the poorest countries. These places, where nearly half the people live on less than $2.15 a day, are where development assistance can typically achieve the highest marginal impact. By shifting focus from high and middle-income countries to the poorest, France can have a greater national reach, having a larger positive impact on a larger number of people

  • Target health: The current underweight allocation to health interventions, particularly in areas such as malaria, tuberculosis, and infectious disease control, represents a missed opportunity to achieve substantial improvements in human welfare at relatively low cost. Some of the most inexpensive ways to save lives is through development assistance targeted towards health. In addition, investing in health protects French citizens at home by preventing, monitoring, and containing disease outbreaks and potential pandemics. By directing more resources towards health interventions, France can positively touch more lives across regions, assert itself as a positive force in the world, and protect its citizens.

  • Grants over loans: The high proportion of loans in France’s bilateral portfolio could be rebalanced toward more grant-based assistance, especially for the poorest countries where debt sustainability is a pressing concern. Shifting to grants will reduce administrative overhead and enhance the responsiveness of aid to local needs . France can ensure its aid goes the farthest and strengthen its image among recipient countries by maximizing grants and reducing debt obligations.

  • Continue multilateral leadership: While France is a strong leader for multilateral aid channels, the country’s approach could be further optimized by directing more resources toward highly effective institutions such as The Global Fund and Gavi, which have demonstrated exceptional results in global health outcomes.

  • Reallocate Toward Smart Buys: Redirect funds from lower-impact programs toward high-return interventions. Specifically, prioritize investments in global health initiatives managed by Gavi and the Global Fund, and increase support for the French Innovation Fund to function as a best buyer. Other areas may include cost-effective lead mitigation efforts [31], Teaching at the Right Level for education [32], and intimate partner violence programs [33].

3.2 Strengthen Evidence, Evaluation, and Transparency

  • Exploit Evidence: Incorporating rigorous evidence, particularly from randomized controlled trials (RCTs), can significantly improve France’s ODA strategy by identifying truly effective programs. French agencies can easily review rigorous evidence and insights on development topics and interventions via organizations such as 3ie, J-PAL, and IPA. By systematically exploiting research on which social, educational, and healthcare initiatives generate the highest returns on investment, France can optimize its limited resources, scale proven solutions, and extend its national reach.
  • Invest in Impact Assessments:  Leading donors typically invest about 2.5–3% of their ODA in comprehensive impact assessments, including RCTs and other rigorous methodologies. Strengthening these evaluation practices is essential for continuous improvement in resource allocation and ensuring that smart buys are truly effective. This should look like:

    • Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs): RCTs are a gold standard in assessing the impact of specific interventions. By comparing outcomes between treated and control groups, RCTs allow us to measure the cost per life saved or the cost per DALY averted with high precision. This evidence is instrumental in validating that funds are directed to interventions that deliver the highest returns. While it may not be feasible to conduct an RCT for every project, France should aim to at least evaluate signature projects that have strategic importance or large budgets. It may also be more feasible to conduct RCTs for smaller pilot programs, which then can be scaled up if shown to be effective. 

    • Cost-Effectivenes Analysis: ex-ante assessment that demonstrates how different interventions have been evaluated against one another. This assessment must detail cost-effectivness ratios, opportunity costs, and benchmark comparisons, thereby justifying funding decisions based on objective, quantifiable criteria.

    • Cash Transfer Benchmarking: Comparative analyses indicate that unconditional cash transfers in health and poverty interventions often achieve competitive cost-effectiveness ratios with relatively minimal overhead. Benchmarking interventions against cash transfers provides an additional measure of value, ensuring that funds are allocated to programs that deliver superior outcomes relative to the counterfactual of just providing direct cash payments.

4. Policy Windows

France can seize on a number of unique opportunities for ODA this year, which offer the chance for the country to make an outsized positive impact and position itself as a global leader.

4.1 US Withdrawal

The recent shifts in U.S. global health engagement, including reduced USAID funding [34] and WHO participation [35] changes, present a significant opportunity for other nations to step into leadership roles in global health. This transition period opens possibilities for countries to expand their influence and impact in international health governance and funding. The vacuum created in global health leadership could allow France to strengthen their diplomatic relationships with developing countries while advancing critical health initiatives.

These changes may create particular opportunities in key, cost-effective areas where the U.S. has historically been a major funder, including routine immunization programs,  disease control, and emergency preparedness. France can increase their technical assistance and funding to fill gaps in these crucial health domains, potentially saving millions of lives [36]. The situation also presents an opening for the country to demonstrate leadership in multilateral health institutions by increasing their financial contributions and taking more active roles in governance.

From a strategic perspective, stepping forward during this period could significantly enhance France’s soft power and diplomatic influence while advancing global health security. In view of the decisions published on 6 April by the Élysée [1], it would appear that this is the direction in which France is heading. By maintaining and potentially expanding support for proven, cost-effective health interventions, the country can position itself as a reliable partner in global health while building goodwill across the developing world. This could have lasting implications for international cooperation and health diplomacy well beyond the immediate funding impacts. Otherwise, other nations, whose interests may not be well aligned with France’s, may fill the vacuum [37].

4.2 Gavi Replenishment

In 2025, Gavi, the global vaccine alliance, will be holding a replenishment conference, something that only occurs every five years. The conference typically brings together donor governments, private sector partners, and implementing countries to secure funding for the next strategic period. The replenishment process aims to mobilize resources to support immunization programs in lower-income countries, ensuring sustainable, predictable funding for vaccines and health systems strengthening [38]. Efforts to fulfil the replenishment will be especially important this year as the U.S., which covers 13% of Gavi’s budget, could withdraw its support from the organization.

In terms of cost-effectiveness, Gavi-supported immunization programs have consistently proven to be one of the best buys in global health. Gavi estimates that every dollar invested in immunization delivers $54 in social and economic benefits through reduced healthcare costs, increased productivity, and the broader economic benefits of a healthier population [39]. There are especially pronounced opportunities for impact this year as R21, the newest malaria vaccine, begins rolling out in endemic countries [40]. Estimates suggest supporting the rollout of R21 could save a life for as little as $4,200 [41].

France has a once in a half-decade opportunity to lead the world on the Gavi replenishment. By supporting the funding round, France can mobilize the world to cash in on one of the “smart buys” in development, extending the reach of the country’s positive impact and saving possibly millions of lives.

4.3 The Global Fund Replenishment

The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria holds replenishment conferences every three years to secure financial commitments from donors to support its mission. These conferences bring together governments, private sector partners, and civil society organizations to mobilize resources for fighting these three diseases in high-burden countries. The replenishment process is crucial for maintaining consistent funding streams that allow recipient countries to plan and implement long-term health interventions [42]

The Global Fund has demonstrated strong cost-effectiveness in its interventions. The Global Fund estimates that since its creation in 2002, supported programs have saved 50 million lives through comprehensive disease prevention and treatment programs [43]. The Fund’s large-scale procurement also helps reduce costs of essential medicines and health products for recipient countries.

Again, France has an opportunity to lead the world in funding these life-saving programs. By building a coalition of allies to support the replenishment, France can position itself once again as a global leader for good, directing ODA towards efficient programs that save lives in a large swath of countries.

5. Conclusion

French foreign aid stands at a pivotal juncture where strategic reallocation of existing resources can yield substantial improvements in impact. A smart buys strategy that prioritizes investments in global health—specifically through increased support for Gavi, the Global Fund, and the French Innovation Fund—can significantly enhance the cost-effectiveness of aid.

Coupled with rigorous evaluation methods, including the use of RCTs, and improved data transparency, these measures will ensure that every euro spent delivers maximum benefit to those in greatest need. Moreover, by adopting a more objective, need-based approach to resource allocation and seizing the strategic opportunity presented by the US retreat from certain multilateral initiatives, France can reinforce its reputation as a responsible and innovative global donor.

1 : https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2025/04/06/releve-de-decisions-du-conseil-presidentiel-pour-les-partenariats-internationaux

2 : https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519-world-bank-country-and-lending-groups

3 :https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/health/publication/from-double-shock-to-double-recovery-health-financing-in-the-time-of-covid-19

4 : https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/multilateral-development-finance-2020_e61fdf00-en.html

5 : https://www.ccsenet.org/journal/index.php/ijef/article/view/13668

6 : https://www.cgdev.org/blog/how-cost-effective-global-health-aid

7 : https://www.who.int/news/item/28-03-2025-fully-funded-gavi–the-vaccine-alliance–is-a-lifeline-for-child-survival–says-who

8 : https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6634388/

9 : https://oecd-opsi.org/innovations/innovation-fund-for-development/

10 :  The DAC is an international forum made up of 32 major OECD donors.

11 :  At constant 2022 prices

12 : Data on French ODA From OECD.xlsx

13 : Data on French ODA From OECD.xlsx

14 : https://www.diplomatie.gouv.fr/IMG/pdf/en_a5_loi-developpement_v1-8.-valide_cle423118.pdf

15 : https://www.forbes.com/sites/globalcitizen/2025/02/25/foreign-aid-is-shrinking-what-happens-next/

16 : Data on French ODA From OECD.xlsx

17 : Data on French ODA From OECD.xlsx

18 : https://www.kff.org/global-health-policy/issue-brief/u-s-global-health-budget-figures/

19 : https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2022/09/09/new-fund-for-pandemic-prevention-preparedness-and-response-formally-established

20 : https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.DDAY?locations=XN

21 : Data on French ODA From OECD.xlsx

22 : https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.DDAY?locations=XM-XN

23: https://unctad.org/publication/aid-under-pressure-3-accelerating-shifts-official-development-assistance

24 : https://developmentevidence.3ieimpact.org

25: https://www.povertyactionlab.org/evaluations

26 : https://poverty-action.org/evidence-use

27 :  https://divportal.usaid.gov/s/article/DIV-Delivers-a-17-1-Social-Return-on-Investment

28 :  https://www.ccomptes.fr/sites/default/files/2024-04/NEB-2023-Aide-publique-au-developpement.pdf

29 :  https://www.afd.fr/sites/afd/files/politique-suivi-evaluation-groupe-afd-WEB.pdf

30 :  For example, cost-effectiveness is rarely used as a top-line metric 

31 : https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/375139/lead-partnership-usaid-unicef-samantha-power

32 :https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2023/05/09/education-smart-buys-cost-effectively-supporting-teachers-and-parents-can-lead-to-significant-learning-improvements

33 :  https://www.povertyactionlab.org/policy-insight/impacts-economic-interventions-intimate-partner-violence

34 :  https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/27/health/usaid-contract-terminations.html?partner=slack&smid=sl-share

35 : https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/withdrawing-the-united-states-from-the-worldhealth-organization/

36 :  https://malariaatlas.org/project-resources/pmi-2025/

37 :  https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/22/health/usaid-who-trump-china.html?partner=slack&smid=sl-share

38 : Gavi funding supports comprehensive immunisation programmes in 57 eligible countries, including routine immunisation services, the introduction of new vaccines, cold chain equipment and the strengthening of health systems. The money also supports emergency response capacity, helps create sustainable markets for vaccines through innovative financing mechanisms, and funds technical assistance to help countries transition to self-financing their immunisation programmes.

39 : https://www.gavi.org/news/media-room/new-gavi-impact-figures-released-66-million-immunised-and-17-million-deaths-averted

40 : https://www.who.int/news/item/24-05-2024-shipment-of-newest-malaria-vaccine–r21–to-central-african-republic-marks-latest-milestone-for-child-survival

41 : https://www.cgdev.org/blog/malaria-vaccines-turning-scientific-triumph-millions-lives-saved

42 :  The Fund’s investments support a wide range of activities, including prevention programmes, access to treatment, strengthening of health systems and networks of community health workers. The money is used to provide antiretroviral therapy for HIV/AIDS patients, tuberculosis diagnosis and treatment, malaria prevention tools such as mosquito nets, and to strengthen health systems to better respond to these diseases. The Fund also supports programmes to address gender inequalities and human rights-related barriers that hinder access to health services.

43 : https://www.theglobalfund.org/en/results/

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