A fund dedicated to reducing the catastrophic risks posed by human activities, and promoting conscientious navigation of the challenges posed by our creations, be they pandemics, military technologies, nuclear governance or Artificial Intelligence.
Last updated: 17 February 2025
We are living in a period of great uncertainty. Humanity is facing increasingly serious risks, some of which threaten our future:
If realised, these catastrophic global risks could kill billions of people and jeopardise the future of humanity.
Usually, risks are managed in a reactive way: after a danger has occurred, governments and major institutions use it to inform new policies. For example, at the start of the COVID-19 epidemic, many of the most important decisions were taken only after the first deaths in the country. Yet it is entirely possible to move into a proactive management mode, by developing technologies to prevent danger, detect it or react more quickly.
In partnership with Effektiv Spenden, we are offering you the “Fund for the Preservation of the Future”. The money in this fund goes to the most promising initiatives to reduce the existential risks weighing on humanity. It focuses on both immediate threats (likely to affect people living today) and long-term threats.
Effektiv Spenden allocates the donations made to its fund every six months. To do this, it draws on the expertise of external partners such as Longview Philanthropy and Founders Pledge’s Global Catastrophic Risks (GCR) fund. These organisations support high-impact, under-funded initiatives aimed at reducing the likelihood of global disasters and mitigating their effects. They focus on major power conflicts, nuclear war, pandemics, biological weapons, laboratory accidents and emerging risks from new technologies, such as artificial intelligence (AI) and other military and civilian advances.
Blueprint Biosecurity – Blueprints for the prevention, mitigation and control of future pandemics (€150,000)
Pour Demain – Support for the biosecurity programme (CHF 100,000)
Global Shield – Policy measures to reduce disaster risk globally ($50,000)
METR (formerly ARC Evals) – Evaluation of advanced AI systems to identify and minimise risks (€128,000)
Tax deductions in France are currently only available for donations to four of our recommended charities: Against Malaria Foundation, Good Food Institute, Helen Keller International, and Centre pour la Sécurité de l’IA
If you are taxable in France, you will benefit from a tax reduction of 66% of the amount of your donation up to the limit of the tax due or 20% of your taxable income.
In practice, this means that if you were planning to donate €100, you can triple this amount to reach a donation of €300 that you will declare, with a real cost of only €102 after tax reduction. This allows you to multiply the impact of your donation without increasing your planned expenditure.
You can read our full article on tax relief in France for more information.
We are able to offer tax deductibility for this association and all the organisations we recommend through our partners, Effektiv Spenden. If your tax residence is in Switzerland, please make your donations via this link, so that you can receive your tax receipt at the end of the tax year.
We work with partners around the world and can offer tax deductibility in many countries. Please contact us if you would like to make a donation from another country and we will discuss the tax options available to you. If you would like to donate and do not require a tax receipt, you can make a donation via Mieux Donner regardless of your country!
As with our other recommendations, this depends on values, and on what one assigns greater importance to. Substantial reduction of catastrophic risks has two advantages: it is global, and it can be sustained for a relatively long time (for example, via international treaties). For example, by reducing the risks of a pandemic, we protect a substantial fraction of humanity against poor living conditions or premature death.
When the cost of these interventions is related to the number of people affected, the expected cost-effectiveness is promising, even taking into account the more uncertain nature of the projects financed and future dangers. The seriousness of the projects and their potential is studied by evaluators such as LongView Philanthropy.
Charities that prioritise the final outcome of their action and not indicators of impact. When talking about impact, it is essential to focus on the desired final outcome, such as improved opportunities and quality of life, rather than focusing on intermediate outcomes such as the number of books distributed.
It’s surprising how few charities measure their impact. Our top recommended charities use scientific methods to evaluate the results of their actions, ensuring that their interventions produce the desired effects.
They save or improve the most lives per euro donated to them. Eg) our top recommended global health charities can save a life for as little as 3,000 euros, our top climate charities can avoid one ton of carbon emissions for just 1 euro and our top animal welfare charities can spare thousands of animals from factory farming for the same price of saving one animal in a refuge.
All of our top charities are independently evaluated by world leading charity evaluators. See more information below.
A life is valuable whether it is based in France or the developing world.
Our top recommended charities are all tax deductible in Switzerland, but not in France. This is because French tax law dictates that a charity must operate from France in order to be tax deductible. We always prioritise the impact of a charity over its tax deductible status.
Some of our charities such as Against Malaria Foundation have very low overhead costs, and some such as Clean Air Task Force – have much higher overhead costs. To explain why we don’t take overhead costs into account in our recommendations, imagine two charities:
In the above examples Charity A saves 1 life for every 10,000 spent on it, whereas Charity B saves 1 life for every 3,300 euros spent on it. In this example – it’s clear to see that it’s not overhead costs that are important – but in fact the ratio of overhead costs to the desired impact. Research suggests that there is not much of a correlation at all between overhead and effectiveness.
Finding the best aid organisations isn’t that easy. That’s why we work closely with experts who have been conducting extensive and in-depth research on the subject for many years. These experts are completely independent and work at the cutting edge of charity evaluation in their respective cause areas. They conduct rigorous tests on hundreds of charities to find out as precisely as possible how much good their programs achieve per euro spent. By comparing the cost effectiveness of so many charities, they are able to short list the most effective charities to donate to in order for your donations to have the biggest impact.
GiveWell is the world’s leading research organisation that studies global health and development charities.
‘We search for the charities that save or improve lives the most per dollar. Our goal is to produce the world’s top research on where to give. Free, for everyone. We recommend a small number of charities that do an incredible amount of good’ (GiveWell)
GiveWell was founded in 2007 by Holden Karnofsky and Elie Hassenfeld, two former hedge fund employees. They wanted to do as much good as possible with their donations and found that there was little solid information available on how to do this. GiveWell invests more than 40,000 hours of research each year and has raised more than €1 billion for high-impact charities, saving an estimated 150,000 lives.
The EA Animal Welfare Fund was rated as the top animal charity evaluator by GWWC’s ‘evaluating the evaluators project’ in 2024. They are therefore the primary charity evaluator we defer to in order to choose our top animal charities. We meet with them every few months to get up to date recommendations. They conduct thorough research into various animal welfare organisations to find those that help the most animals per dollar.
Giving Green is a nonprofit organisation that spends thousands of hours each year reviewing studies and climate charities to find the most cost effective interventions to combat climate change. From this research, they publish their top recommendations each year. Their team is made up of climate scientists, economists and impact evaluation experts with decades of experience working at the intersection of evidence-based policy and the environment. We meet regularly with Giving Green to discuss our climate recommendations and run climate workshops in collaboration with eachother.
Although we primarily defer to GiveWell, Giving Green and EA Animal Welfare Fund, we also read the research of other top charity evaluators including LongView Philanthropy, Founders Pledge and Animal Charity Evaluators to ensure we are not overly-reliant on any one source of research. When choosing our top charities we prefer organisations whose effectiveness is corroborated by multiple independent evaluators.
We process donations free of charge, which means we do not keep any of your donation for ourselves. However, the payment methods credit card, PayPal and SEPA direct debit incur fees from the payment services we work with. These fees are deducted from your donation. The amount is calculated as follows for donations within France:
Transfer : Free of charge within the SEPA payment area
Transfer via Donorbox: 2.55% + 0.25 €
Credit card : 2.95% + 0.25 € (for European cards)
PayPal : 3,15 % + 0,25 €
For donations of > 1,000 euros, we recommend a free bank transfer. PayPal and credit cards are not recommended for large amounts due to the costs.
Fees would also be incurred for a direct donation to the respective organisations. We have already negotiated with all payment providers and received particularly favourable conditions for non-profit organisations. We have specially advantageous conversion fees compared to traditional bank.
We also finance ourselves through donations, but completely independently.
If you would like to discuss the best way to donate through us, please get in touch.
[1] The number of non-retired nuclear warheads is rising: Report of the Pentagon.
Geopolitcal tension between great powers moderately rises: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1445888/geopolitical-risk-index/
The main risk identigied by leaders is armed conflict: Rapport du World Economic Forum
Article from 80,000 hours for more detail.
[2] Aerial transport is a transmission vector: Martin G., Boland M. Planning and Preparing for Public Health Threats at Airports. Globalization and Health, Vol. 14, No. 28, 2018, pp. 1–5, Tiwari A, So MKP, Chong ACY, Chan JNL, Chu AMY. Pandemic risk of COVID-19 outbreak in the United States: An analysis of network connectedness with air travel data. Int J Infect Dis. 2021, Rapport de RAND
Pandemic risk is rising: M. Marani, G.G. Katul, W.K. Pan, & A.J. Parolari, Intensity and frequency of extreme novel epidemics, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 118 (35) (2021).
Pandemic prevention is underfunded: Global Burden of Disease 2021 Health Financing Collaborator Network. Global investments in pandemic preparedness and COVID-19: development assistance and domestic spending on health between 1990 and 2026. Lancet Glob Health. 2023
Article from 80,000 hours for more details.
[3] Synthesizing toxic molecules : Dual use of artificial-intelligence-powered drug discovery, Urbina et al. 2022, in Nature Machine Intelligence
Help for creating pathogens : Can large language models democratize access to dual-use biotechnology?, Soice et al. 2023, MIT
Interfere on the result of their own evaluation: Apollo Research, Frontier models are capable of in-context scheming, Meinke et al. 2024, Paragraphe 3.4, Models sometimes scheme without any goal nudging, Anthropic, Alignment Faking in Large Language Model, Greenblat, Denison et al. 2024
Autonomous replication : Frontier AI systems have surpassed the self-replicating red line, Xudong Pan, et al. 2024, Université de Fudan
Unexpected emergence of biases and negative values : Utility Engineering: Analyzing and Controlling Emergent Value Systems in AIs, Mazeika et al. 2025, Center for AI Safety. Emergent Misalignment: Narrow finetuning can produce broadly misaligned LLMs, Betley et al. 2025, Truthful AI
[4] Attack drones are being invested in worldwide : french national assembly report
[5] International AI Safety Report, Bengio et al. 2025, Statement on AI Risk